by DJ » Mon Jun 13, 2011 12:16 pm
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Current Forecast
Monday - June 13, 2011
Steady Course
Weather for the next ten days may be best described as "steady". Let's examine why.
The 'classic' subtropical high pressure dome should remain centered over the eastern pacific ocean, holding guard to block any significant surface systems from the PNW. Couple this with an upper level low (trough) that will remain rather stationary over the central Rocky Mtn states, and bam, breezy mild conditions for us.
The upcoming Father's Day weekend should remain dry and even a tad warmer than this week.
The week following Father's Day is when wx model solutions diverge a bit. There are indications that a weak, cool trough will finally push its way into the PNW from the NW sometime in the June 23 - 25 period. If so, this system will bring cooler, showery conditions for 3 to 5 days, June 23-27. Thereafter, the high pressure dome over the eastern pacific should build more into the Gulf of Alaska and return the region to a dry, mild pattern. There could be enough cumulative moisture during the 23rd-27th to stop the need for irrigation, but it is a bit too early for such confidence in the outlook. Please note: some model runs do not indicate a trough; rather, warmer temps with less cloudiness than this week. Just saying.
Even a fool is thought wise if he keeps silent,
and discerning if he holds his tongue.